MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Only 0 resolved forecasts. Results are not statistically meaningful yet.
Headline totals mix prompt versions and evidence settings. Use the segments below; do not treat the aggregate as one model.
Forecasts
149
Resolved
0
Unresolved
149
PASS / ATTENTION / CANDIDATE
67 / 81 / 1
M/ARC Brier
—
Market Brier
—
Vs market
—
Observed YES rate vs average predicted probability. Counts shown; tiny buckets are not meaningful.
| Bucket | Avg predicted | Observed | Error | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 10–20% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 20–30% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 30–40% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 40–50% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 50–60% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 60–70% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 70–80% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 80–90% | — | — | — | 0 |
| 90–100% | — | — | — | 0 |
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS