MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41.4M
Liquidity
$30.2K
Spread
0.003
Closes
01 Jun 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 05:43 UTC
External ID
2063133
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.4% | 0.002 | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| No | 99.7% | 0.995 | 0.998 | 0.003 |
condition 0xf426c69674c6637f2b458c76d9920faa814d4daa8c308e0b8ba554dda509cb8b
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.002 · ask 0.005
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
Last 1h. Public tape only. Not a trade command.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration — · Large No
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration Insufficient sample · 24h CLV 0.1 pts · Large No
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration — · Large No
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration — · Large No
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast