MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0.001
Closes
07 Nov 2028 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC
External ID
559701
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 100.0% | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.001 |
| Yes | 0.1% | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
condition 0x0b4ef8dad7d6d1bc117bf918f09d5d4f99662a0aa375ec9c6a994d1835b3bea9
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.999 · ask 1.000
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast
Provider issues: political: No high-quality polling provider configured; political evidence categories marked missing.
evidence-v2 · d52520d048a1