LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Volume

$650.3K

Liquidity

$433.0K

Spread

0.001

Closes

21 Aug 2026 UTC

Status

active

Resolution

https://gol.gg/esports/home

Updated

21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC

External ID

3699238

Outcomes

Label	Price	Bid	Ask	Spread
Team Vitality	100.0%	0.999	1.000	0.001
Natus Vincere	0.1%	0.000	0.001	0.001

condition 0xa747d4c0f655a0c7953d4edb78ecdf4b693d780b0b828034f6057525fee84f71

Paper trade

Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.

Hosted paper writes are disabled.

bid 0.999 · ask 1.000

Price history

From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.

Team Vitality8 ptsNatus Vincere8 pts

Market flow

No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.

Notable actors

Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.

No recent public actors on this market.

Evidence

Source quality: Strong
Identifiability: Weak
Coverage: 1 of 1 desired categories
Sources: 1
Freshness: 1.00
Missing: event-specific reporting

Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.

Evidence timeline

E1 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Listed category · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E2 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Scheduled close · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E3 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Event context · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E4 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Market question · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E5 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Resolution criteria · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E6 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Resolution source · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.

Signals

No directional signals extracted.

M/ARC Analysis

No model prediction yet

Run npm run forecast