MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Elon Musk # tweets August 17 - August 19, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$155.1K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Spread
0.018
Closes
19 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://x.com/elonmusk
Updated
19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
External ID
3605778
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7.9% | 0.070 | 0.088 | 0.018 |
| No | 92.1% | 0.912 | 0.930 | 0.018 |
condition 0xeaa183eb2df8d7bbee7a9b59237777203230dfda5d6b569b5149eb788fae80a6
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.070 · ask 0.088
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast