LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Volume

$624.7K

Liquidity

$644.8K

Spread

0.001

Closes

21 Aug 2026 UTC

Status

active

Resolution

https://gol.gg/esports/home

Updated

21 Aug 2026, 16:31 UTC

External ID

3572284

Outcomes

Label	Price	Bid	Ask	Spread
Top Esports	0.1%	0.000	0.001	0.001
Bilibili Gaming	100.0%	0.999	1.000	0.001

condition 0xbaeff75cda3a5b62e79ee922c4cf73125ad8b1850717a41dd2fcf1eecc2ea199

Paper trade

Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.

Hosted paper writes are disabled.

bid 0.000 · ask 0.001

Price history

From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.

Top Esports6 ptsBilibili Gaming6 pts

Market flow

No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.

Notable actors

Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.

No recent public actors on this market.

Evidence

Source quality: Strong
Identifiability: Weak
Coverage: 1 of 1 desired categories
Sources: 1
Freshness: 1.00
Missing: event-specific reporting

Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.

Evidence timeline

E1 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Listed category · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E2 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Scheduled close · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E3 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Event context · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E4 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Market question · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E5 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Resolution criteria · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E6 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2026-08-21Resolution source · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.

Signals

No directional signals extracted.

M/ARC Analysis

No model prediction yet

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