MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$480.8K
Liquidity
$87.0K
Spread
0.001
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://x.com/elonmusk
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC
External ID
3506026
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.1% | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| No | 100.0% | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.001 |
condition 0xa093d5a689f2dbce7b76a95ec3a872d6efe62b1fa9e6f8ef7c1e8de20ac73791
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.000 · ask 0.001
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast