MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
Loading…
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
Loading…
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$9.9M
Liquidity
$520.8K
Spread
0.001
Closes
07 Nov 2028 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
External ID
561243
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.9% | 0.028 | 0.029 | 0.001 |
| No | 97.2% | 0.971 | 0.972 | 0.001 |
condition 0xce9a5fa30fe74e323b4a8f15afbb0b7a41a537aa880779ddf7dee22223b2f34a
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.028 · ask 0.029
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast
Provider issues: political: No high-quality polling provider configured; political evidence categories marked missing.
evidence-v2 · 3e1bbb1d61c0