Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Volume

$43.7M

Liquidity

$2.9M

Spread

0.001

Closes

07 Nov 2028 UTC

Status

active

Resolution

Not provided

Updated

19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC

External ID

559677

Outcomes

Label	Price	Bid	Ask	Spread
Yes	0.1%	0.001	0.002	0.001
No	99.9%	0.998	0.999	0.001

condition 0x663b88d3a8f2341bb8d878709dc78632bcaf7512e577bd15521e5d8ed933efbc

Paper trade

Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.

Hosted paper writes are disabled.

bid 0.001 · ask 0.002

Price history

From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.

Yes1 ptsNo1 pts

Market flow

Last 1h. Public tape only. Not a trade command.

YES flow: $0.0
NO flow: $0.0
Whale imbalance: —
Large trades: 0
Unique actors: 0

Notable actors

Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.

0x7449…c05e
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration Insufficient sample · 24h CLV -0.0 pts · Mixed
0xc84c…323f
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration — · Mixed
0xe11f…ddaa
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration — · Mixed
0x227b…76f9
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration Insufficient sample · 24h CLV -0.0 pts · Mixed
0xa158…1c1b
politics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration Insufficient sample · 24h CLV -0.0 pts · Mixed
0x5b63…11a4
geopolitics · insufficient resolved sample · calibration Insufficient sample · Mixed

Evidence

Source quality: Thin
Identifiability: Weak
Coverage: 1 of 3 desired categories
Sources: 1
Freshness: 1.00
Missing: polling or campaign status

Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.

Evidence timeline

E1 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Listed category · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E2 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Scheduled close · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E3 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Event context · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E4 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Market question · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E5 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Resolution criteria · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E6 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 2028-11-07Resolution source · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.

Signals

No directional signals extracted.

M/ARC Analysis

No model prediction yet

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