
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Nesterov and Calvin Hemery in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Calvin Hemery. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Petr Nesterov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$197.3K
Liquidity
$59.8K
Spread
0.010
Closes
24 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 19:59 UTC
External ID
3619201
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Hemery | 49.5% | 0.490 | 0.500 | 0.010 |
| Petr Nesterov | 50.5% | 0.500 | 0.510 | 0.010 |
condition 0xb5d3c3684745bfeddbd64b7da32e05d1dd80cf694011961cf2c834754d396bad
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.490 · ask 0.500
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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Run npm run forecast