MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Volume
$750.2K
Liquidity
$63.4K
Spread
0.001
Closes
01 Sept 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
20 Aug 2026, 00:42 UTC
External ID
3307942
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10.3% | 0.103 | 0.104 | 0.001 |
| No | 89.6% | 0.896 | 0.897 | 0.001 |
condition 0xe7db5d31d8ce10fad03ffc9ccea14496cf038438e7c26b36300230cf91fc32ec
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.103 · ask 0.104
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast