
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Hanlei Lu and Vladimir Osminkin in the ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanlei Lu' if Hanlei Lu advances against Vladimir Osminkin. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Hanlei Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$418.6K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0.009
Closes
25 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 05:44 UTC
External ID
3666314
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanlei Lu | 99.6% | 0.991 | 1.000 | 0.009 |
| Vladimir Osminkin | 0.4% | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.009 |
condition 0xb8e41ef6e462cf664a460c8abd96248fad5324cbfdc664e6d73fd102ff3646dd
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.991 · ask 1.000
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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Run npm run forecast