MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$194.6K
Spread
0.002
Closes
31 Dec 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 16:46 UTC
External ID
682721
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.6% | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.002 |
| No | 99.4% | 0.993 | 0.995 | 0.002 |
condition 0x8cbdd0c4c6061c9e5c5a94d4a474c1880d0f2ab5ee4704a64af1e77c6d0e18d0
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.005 · ask 0.007
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast