
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Xiyu Wang in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Xiyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$173.4K
Liquidity
$497.4K
Spread
0.020
Closes
26 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Updated
20 Aug 2026, 00:42 UTC
External ID
3710436
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 97.0% | 0.960 | 0.980 | 0.020 |
| Xiyu Wang | 3.0% | 0.020 | 0.040 | 0.020 |
condition 0x21c5344608988eb6c3e5d6f9082d3bfb353fa963171363754e6d2ff3c0d0533f
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.960 · ask 0.980
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast