MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Volume
$111.2K
Liquidity
$232.0K
Spread
0.010
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC
External ID
3740535
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 99.5% | 0.990 | 1.000 | 0.010 |
| Down | 0.5% | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
condition 0x116be97715b073641818c06bbc62c132daf6e38e46f18997cbacf0e649671909
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.990 · ask 1.000
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast