Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 21, 2026 If Real Betis Balompié wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Volume

$828.1K

Liquidity

$616.2K

Spread

0.001

Closes

21 Aug 2026 UTC

Status

active

Resolution

https://www.laliga.com/

Updated

21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC

External ID

3416124

Event

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Friday, August 21, 2026 between Real Betis Balompié and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Outcomes

Label	Price	Bid	Ask	Spread
Yes	100.0%	0.999	1.000	0.001
No	0.1%	0.000	0.001	0.001

condition 0xcaeaab3b3d1b538f0d1742660fdee9dbbc338affc991167e1bb5c5e7933173b3

Paper trade

Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.

Hosted paper writes are disabled.

bid 0.999 · ask 1.000

Price history

From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.

Yes6 ptsNo6 pts

Market flow

No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.

Notable actors

Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.

No recent public actors on this market.

Evidence

Source quality: Thin
Identifiability: Weak
Coverage: 1 of 3 desired categories
Sources: 1
Freshness: 1.00
Missing: polling or campaign status

Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.

Evidence timeline

E1 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoListed category · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E2 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoScheduled close · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E3 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoEvent context · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E4 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoMarket question · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E5 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoResolution criteria · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.
E6 · PARALLAX market record · contextual · suit 0.25 · 1h agoResolution source · Market text describes the question; it does not identify the outcome.

Signals

No directional signals extracted.

M/ARC Analysis

No model prediction yet

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