
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62.1K
Liquidity
$350.8K
Spread
0.010
Closes
25 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 16:46 UTC
External ID
3649969
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | 80.5% | 0.800 | 0.810 | 0.010 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 19.5% | 0.190 | 0.200 | 0.010 |
condition 0x1ba3356e7bf4b1aa8f8a003a78cff97d99e457d88b5fc617c0b240c4c2e8e52f
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.800 · ask 0.810
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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