MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Volume
$410.3K
Liquidity
$39.9K
Spread
0.001
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC
External ID
3724135
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 100.0% | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.001 |
| Down | 0.1% | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
condition 0x1f8cef7c837903d1ed1640702ea02fb36d315a284ffe1cbcd6174934ce6fee2e
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.999 · ask 1.000
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast