MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Bitcoin above ___ on August 19?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Volume
$215.6K
Liquidity
$12.8K
Spread
0.005
Closes
19 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
External ID
3541761
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.3% | 0.020 | 0.025 | 0.005 |
| No | 97.8% | 0.975 | 0.980 | 0.005 |
condition 0x8f4fe6332138bb3194d9d165149e8b4944e4da5fb2c5f12ec151f48dd19120bb
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.020 · ask 0.025
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast