
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 21 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$135.0K
Liquidity
$356.3K
Spread
0.010
Closes
28 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.mlb.com/
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC
External ID
3603640
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 47.5% | 0.470 | 0.480 | 0.010 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 52.5% | 0.520 | 0.530 | 0.010 |
condition 0xd5118e6e1365bc458998c38b6914d5299a70881cdb7f9b2b8749f2d305fd5603
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.470 · ask 0.480
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast