MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Volume
$701.0K
Liquidity
$43.8K
Spread
0.001
Closes
01 Sept 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
20 Aug 2026, 00:42 UTC
External ID
3257342
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 22.1% | 0.220 | 0.221 | 0.001 |
| No | 78.0% | 0.779 | 0.780 | 0.001 |
condition 0xc4bde1d397625e1990fec7f787b9eb2e5727c666d0480c4e9c96b0dbd12602c6
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.220 · ask 0.221
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast