
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Vitality and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$592.7K
Spread
—
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://hltv.org
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC
External ID
3746562
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit | 99.9% | — | — | — |
| Vitality | 0.1% | — | — | — |
condition 0xc306f1e66703bba2977be508ca724976642f0bd66ca5f6594b3eb57bddb2dc2c
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid — · ask —
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast
evidence-v2 · 186591f0aa6c