
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasija Cvetkovic and Mara Guth in the ITF W35 Verbier Women, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasija Cvetkovic' if Anastasija Cvetkovic advances against Mara Guth. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Anastasija Cvetkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$97.6K
Liquidity
$45.5K
Spread
0.001
Closes
28 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 17:32 UTC
External ID
3748282
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasija Cvetkovic | 100.0% | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.001 |
| Mara Guth | 0.1% | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
condition 0xf7ad4ec4858799e2e7773457a5d7b9c3ce64412d59409810d9e2ee1951a0783c
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.999 · ask 1.000
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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