
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Christopher O'Connell in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Christopher O'Connell. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135.0K
Liquidity
$276.4K
Spread
0.010
Closes
25 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Updated
18 Aug 2026, 05:43 UTC
External ID
3649959
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher O'Connell | 49.5% | 0.490 | 0.500 | 0.010 |
| Joao Fonseca | 50.5% | 0.500 | 0.510 | 0.010 |
condition 0xd8380ad93814ee41b4dc3fd87520453e1bf1953e7b352c236d953b9f5bb3b446
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.490 · ask 0.500
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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Run npm run forecast