MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
Loading…
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
Loading…
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8.0M
Liquidity
$209.0K
Spread
0.001
Closes
30 May 2027 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
Not provided
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC
External ID
2772194
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99.9% | 0.998 | 0.999 | 0.001 |
| Yes | 0.1% | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
condition 0xefa17dee3af09f69f9ddf245b969aa4efbe7c71cdf06ee49d694408bc33e2ed2
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.998 · ask 0.999
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
Research classification only. Does not place paper trades. Independent probability and model confidence come from the model. Edge, decision, evidence quality, identifiability, coherence, and combined confidence are M/ARC calculations. These scores are not statistically calibrated.
No relevant base rate for Shakhtar Donetsk's chances in the UEFA Champions League is available in the evidence provided.
Provider issues: political: No high-quality polling provider configured; political evidence categories marked missing.
evidence-v2 · 3ae5240737e6
E1, E2, E3, E4, E5, E6
Given the lack of specific evidence regarding Shakhtar Donetsk's current form or competitive strength in the UEFA Champions League, I estimate a low probability of them winning the championship. The absence of a base rate and the thin nature of the evidence lead to a low confidence in this estimate.
Lack of current performance data for Shakhtar Donetsk No information on competing teams' strengths Absence of player-related news or updates
openai · gpt-4o-mini · forecast-v4 · politics · 3ae5240737e6 · 21 Aug 2026, 07:01 UTC