
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 19 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LNG Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$581.5K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Spread
0.010
Closes
19 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://gol.gg/esports/home
Updated
19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
External ID
3501991
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weibo Gaming | 61.5% | 0.610 | 0.620 | 0.010 |
| LNG Esports | 38.5% | 0.380 | 0.390 | 0.010 |
condition 0xbef57e09ca87b7d054a78f7c8ddaad50502aac0f8bc0e749594ab06f5933c270
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.610 · ask 0.620
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast