
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against BoomBoys. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$7.7M
Liquidity
$4.8M
Spread
—
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.dotabuff.com
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 06:01 UTC
External ID
3741844
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iron Wing | 1.0% | — | — | — |
| BoomBoys | 99.9% | — | — | — |
condition 0xbee7d58b8a5ca59c228423923d1025e808e1d91d1c1d126cc1c575234cd517aa
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid — · ask —
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast
evidence-v2 · fa51c1089276