
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jakub Mensik in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75.2K
Liquidity
$47.4K
Spread
0.010
Closes
26 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Updated
19 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
External ID
3689368
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 32.5% | 0.320 | 0.330 | 0.010 |
| Jakub Mensik | 67.5% | 0.670 | 0.680 | 0.010 |
condition 0x4e3000c90abf7cee5df0bbbee2f20ebd64c2f901989fbda806d9ec80e41f28ca
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.320 · ask 0.330
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast