
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against TEAM VISION. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$846.2K
Spread
0.001
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.dotabuff.com
Updated
21 Aug 2026, 12:31 UTC
External ID
3741863
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM VISION | 0.1% | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Team Spirit | 100.0% | 0.999 | 1.000 | 0.001 |
condition 0x25e47a33eabfc05930ffb603bfb0b8505af969307b43c1f962a9faf59402da89
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.000 · ask 0.001
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
Source quality is provenance and freshness. Identifiability is whether those sources actually inform this event's outcome split. Coherence is checked separately against related markets.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast
evidence-v2 · 86e21ebec8be